Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 3.301020 3.676297 4.083042 4.557652 5.097506 5.693913 6.404660
2025-03-16 2.717930 3.212199 3.786167 4.505729 5.388952 6.444399 7.811160
2025-03-23 2.450265 3.028967 3.737303 4.676235 5.900273 7.458576 9.619453
2025-03-30 2.186595 2.799437 3.581213 4.664550 6.147263 8.135494 11.054667
2025-04-06 1.972919 2.600859 3.430178 4.623566 6.326651 8.715981 12.405718
2025-04-13 1.732142 2.337745 3.160277 4.380841 6.183703 8.809948 13.041842
2025-04-20 1.610491 2.224120 3.080807 4.391371 6.394954 9.426580 14.528841
2025-04-27 1.529880 2.159253 3.061191 4.481831 6.727139 10.252797 16.446902
2025-05-04 1.458140 2.099705 3.041647 4.566249 7.052485 11.096373 18.500333
2025-05-11 1.385747 2.032329 3.002921 4.613862 7.318477 11.865303 20.522492
2025-05-18 1.318009 1.966114 2.959292 4.647012 7.559509 12.612318 22.602386
2025-05-25 1.224530 1.852751 2.832242 4.530044 7.528999 12.873479 23.789164
2025-06-01 1.150795 1.767291 2.746144 4.478837 7.616315 13.371154 25.545779
2025-06-08 1.082517 1.686053 2.661050 4.421911 7.687441 13.846852 27.333708
2025-06-15 1.061533 1.680595 2.700965 4.587499 8.185728 15.201203 31.209025
2025-06-22 1.010995 1.622054 2.645924 4.575830 8.343437 15.895142 33.736451
2025-06-29 0.960026 1.559352 2.578969 4.535703 8.439816 16.471849 36.086481
2025-07-06 0.882023 1.445383 2.414377 4.298293 8.117113 16.124877 36.162961
2025-07-13 0.847928 1.406129 2.380539 4.308591 8.301908 16.896674 39.138523
2025-07-20 0.827559 1.389795 2.386810 4.397071 8.658257 18.092356 43.420676
2025-07-27 0.807507 1.372685 2.390230 4.479636 9.009720 19.321134 48.032392
2025-08-03 0.783847 1.347510 2.376695 4.526202 9.286211 20.408103 52.469795
2025-08-10 0.759835 1.320239 2.357264 4.558621 9.533628 21.455948 57.010577